Development and web deployment of prediction model for pulmonary arterial pressure in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension using machine learning.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) is a key index for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Using machine learning, we attempted to construct an accurate prediction model for mPAP in patients with CTEPH. METHODS: A total of 136 patients diagnosed with CTEPH were included, for whom mPAP was measured. The following patient data were used as explanatory variables in the model: basic patient information (age and sex), blood tests (brain natriuretic peptide (BNP)), echocardiography (tricuspid valve pressure gradient (TRPG)), and chest radiography (cardiothoracic ratio (CTR), right second arc ratio, and presence of avascular area). Seven machine learning methods including linear regression were used for the multivariable prediction models. Additionally, prediction models were constructed using the AutoML software. Among the 136 patients, 2/3 and 1/3 were used as training and validation sets, respectively. The average of R squared was obtained from 10 different data splittings of the training and validation sets. RESULTS: The optimal machine learning model was linear regression (averaged R squared, 0.360). The optimal combination of explanatory variables with linear regression was age, BNP level, TRPG level, and CTR (averaged R squared, 0.388). The R squared of the optimal multivariable linear regression model was higher than that of the univariable linear regression model with only TRPG. CONCLUSION: We constructed a more accurate prediction model for mPAP in patients with CTEPH than a model of TRPG only. The prediction performance of our model was improved by selecting the optimal machine learning method and combination of explanatory variables.

Pulmonary tumor thrombotic microangiopathy due to early gastric carcinoma in a patient with no antemortem findings suggestive of primary malignancy.

Pulmonary tumor thrombotic microangiopathy (PTTM) is a rare and critical malignancy-related disease characterized by acute progressive pulmonary hypertension (PH). In most cases of PTTM, the cancer can be diagnosed in advance. Identification of the primary cancer is valuable for PTTM diagnosis. Here, we present the case of a patient with PTTM due to early gastric carcinoma in whom the diagnosis of malignant cancer was not revealed until macroscopic autopsy findings. This case highlights the importance of recognizing causative occult early gastric cancer leading to PTTM in cases of acute progressive PH.

Synovial Folds Impingement After Unicondylar Knee Arthroplasty.

Soft tissue impingement after total knee arthroplasty has been reported; however, complications after unicondylar knee arthroplasty (UKA) have rarely been reported. We report a rare case of synovial fold impingement that occurred after UKA and caused severe pain with clicking during knee flexion and extension. Diagnostic arthroscopy was performed 3 weeks after UKA and found that a hypertrophied and congested synovial fold in the medial compartment impinged on the femoral component during knee flexion and extension. After excising the synovial fold, the patient's symptoms improved. Synovial fold impingement is a complication that should be considered when patients complain of severe pain with clicking in the knee after UKA.

Association between maternal blood or cord blood metal concentrations and catch-up growth in children born small for gestational age: an analysis by the Japan environment and children's study.

BACKGROUND: Catch-up growth issues among children born small for gestational age (SGA) present a substantial public health challenge. Prenatal exposure to heavy metals can cause adverse effects on birth weight. However, comprehensive studies on the accurate assessment of individual blood concentrations of heavy metals and their effect on the failure to achieve catch-up growth remain unavailable. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of uterine exposure to toxic metals cadmium, lead, and mercury and essential trace metals manganese and selenium at low concentrations on the postnatal growth of children born SGA. METHODS: Data on newborn birth size and other factors were obtained from the medical record transcripts and self-administered questionnaires of participants in the Japan Environment and Children's Study. The blood concentrations of lead, cadmium, mercury, selenium, and manganese in pregnant women in their second or third trimester were determined by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. These heavy metal concentrations were also assessed in pregnant women's cord blood. Furthermore, the relationship between each heavy metal and height measure/catch-up growth in SGA children aged 4 years was analyzed using linear and logistic regression methods. These models were adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: We studied 4683 mother-child pairings from 103,060 pregnancies included in the Japan Environment and Children's Study. Of these, 278 pairs were also analyzed using cord blood. At 3 and 4 years old, 10.7% and 9.0% of children who were born below the 10th percentile of body weight had height standard deviation scores (SDSs) below 2, respectively. Cord blood cadmium concentrations were associated with the inability to catch up in growth by 3 or 4 years old and the height SDS at 3 years old. In maternal blood, only manganese was positively associated with the height SDS of SGA children aged 2 years; however, it was not significantly associated with catch-up growth in these children. CONCLUSION: Cadmium exposure is associated with failed catch-up development in SGA children. These new findings could help identify children highly at risk of failing to catch up in growth, and could motivate the elimination of heavy metal (especially cadmium) pollution to improve SGA children's growth.

Adult-onset idiopathic peripheral pulmonary artery stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral pulmonary artery stenosis (PPS) refers to stenosis of the pulmonary artery from the trunk to the peripheral arteries. Although paediatric PPS is well described, the clinical characteristics of adult-onset idiopathic PPS have not been established. Our objectives in this study were to characterise the disease profile of adult-onset PPS. METHODS: We collected data in Japanese centres. This cohort included patients who underwent pulmonary angiography (PAG) and excluded patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension or Takayasu arteritis. Patient backgrounds, right heart catheterisation (RHC) findings, imaging findings and treatment profiles were collected. RESULTS: 44 patients (median (interquartile range) age 39 (29-57) years; 29 females (65.9%)) with PPS were enrolled from 20 centres. In PAG, stenosis of segmental and peripheral pulmonary arteries was observed in 41 (93.2%) and 36 patients (81.8%), respectively. 35 patients (79.5%) received medications approved for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and 22 patients (50.0%) received combination therapy. 25 patients (56.8%) underwent transcatheter pulmonary angioplasty. RHC data showed improvements in both mean pulmonary arterial pressure (44 versus 40 mmHg; p<0.001) and pulmonary vascular resistance (760 versus 514 dyn·s·cm-5; p<0.001) from baseline to final follow-up. The 3-, 5- and 10-year survival rates of patients with PPS were 97.5% (95% CI 83.5-99.6%), 89.0% (95% CI 68.9-96.4%) and 67.0% (95% CI 41.4-83.3%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, patients with adult-onset idiopathic PPS presented with segmental and peripheral pulmonary artery stenosis. Although patients had severe pulmonary hypertension at baseline, they showed a favourable treatment response to PAH drugs combined with transcatheter pulmonary angioplasty.

Protective effects of dog ownership against the onset of disabling dementia in older community-dwelling Japanese: A longitudinal study.

This prospective study examined the associations of dog/cat ownership with incident disabling dementia using propensity score matching based on the physical, social, and psychological characteristics of dog and cat owners. We also examined associations of the interaction between dog/cat ownership and exercise habit and social isolation with dementia. Overall, 11,194 older adults selected using stratified and random sampling strategies in 2016 were analyzed. Dog/cat ownership was defined as "current" or "past and never". Disabling dementia was defined according to physicians' rating in the long-term care insurance system in Japan during the approximately 4-year follow-up period. Statistical analysis was weighted by the inverse of the propensity score in the generalized estimating equation after adjusting for follow-up period. Current dog owners (8.6 %) had an odds ratio (OR) of 0.60 (95 %CI: 0.37-0.977) of having disabling dementia compared to past and never owners. For cat ownership, the corresponding OR was 0.98 (95 %CI: 0.62-1.55). Current dog owners with a regular exercise habit had an OR of 0.37 (0.20-0.68) compared to past and never dog owners with no exercise habit. Further, current dog owners with no social isolation had an OR of 0.41 (0.23-0.73) compared to past and never dog owners with social isolation. Dog ownership had a suppressive effect on incident disabling dementia after adjusting for background factors over a 4-year follow-up period. Specifically, dog owners with an exercise habit and no social isolation had a significantly lower risk of disabling dementia.

How do the 2022 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines modify the diagnosis of portopulmonary hypertension in patients with cirrhosis complicated by portal hypertension? A post hoc analysis.

The vertical and horizontal broken lines indicate the pre-revised criteria, whereas the vertical and horizontal solid lines indicate the 2022 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society criteria.

Initial Triple Combination Therapy Including Intravenous Prostaglandin I2 for the Treatment of Patients with Severe Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Upfront combination therapy including intravenous prostaglandin I2 (PGI2-IV) is recognized as the most appropriate treatment for patients with severe pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). This retrospective study aimed to determine reasons why this therapy is not used for some patients with severe PAH and describe the hemodynamic and clinical prognoses of patients receiving initial combination treatment with (PGI2-IV+) or without (PGI2-IV-) PGI2-IV.Data for patients with severe PAH (World Health Organization Functional Class III/IV and mean pulmonary arterial pressure [mPAP] ≥ 40 mmHg) were extracted from the Japan Pulmonary Hypertension Registry. Overall, 73 patients were included (PGI2-IV + n = 17; PGI2-IV- n = 56). The PGI2-IV+ cohort was younger than the PGI2-IV- cohort (33.8 ± 10.6 versus 52.6 ± 18.2 years) and had higher mPAP (58.1 ± 12.9 versus 51.8 ± 9.0 mmHg), greater prevalence of idiopathic PAH (88% versus 32%), and less prevalence of connective tissue disease-associated PAH (0% versus 29%). Hemodynamic measures, including mPAP, showed improvement in both cohorts (post-treatment median [interquartile range] 38.5 [17.0-40.0] for the PGI2-IV + cohort and 33.0 [25.0-43.0] mmHg for the PGI2-IV - cohort). Deaths (8/56) and lung transplantation (1/56) occurred only in the PGI2-IV - cohort.These Japanese registry data indicate that older age, lower mPAP, and non-idiopathic PAH may influence clinicians against using upfront combination therapy including PGI2-IV for patients with severe PAH. Early combination therapy including PGI2-IV was associated with improved hemodynamics from baseline, but interpretation is limited by the small sample size.

Protocol for a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of riociguat on peak cardiac index during exercise in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after balloon pulmonary angioplasty (THERAPY-HYBRID-BPA trial).

OBJECTIVES: Balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) and medical therapy, such as soluble guanylate cyclase stimulators, are recommended treatments for patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) who are ineligible for pulmonary endarterectomy (PEA). However, monotherapy with BPA or medical therapy cannot always eliminate symptoms such as exertional dyspnoea. Thus, this study aims to clarify the efficacy of continuous treatment with riociguat in inoperable CTEPH patients with normalised haemodynamics after BPA. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a double-blind, multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled trial. Participants with CTEPH who are ineligible for PEA will receive riociguat followed by BPA. Subsequently, participants will be randomised (1:1) into either riociguat continuing or discontinuing groups and will be observed for 16 weeks after randomisation. The primary endpoint will be the change in peak cardiac index (CI) during the cardiopulmonary exercise test. In the primary analysis, the least square mean differences and 95% CIs for the change in peak CI at 16 weeks between the groups will be estimated by a linear mixed-effects model with baseline value as a covariate, treatment group as a fixed effect and study institution as a random effect. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: National Hospital Organisation Review Board for Clinical Trials (Nagoya) and each participating institution approved this study and its protocols. Written informed consent will be obtained from all participants. The results will be disseminated at medical conferences and in journal publications. REGISTRATION DETAILS: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCT no. 041200052. CLINICALTRIALS: gov by National Library of Medicine Registry ID: NCT04600492. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04600492.

Pregnancy bias toward boys or girls: The Japan Environment and Children's Study.

The sex of the conceived child is a significant concern for parents. To verify whether there women have pregnancy bias toward boys or girls, we investigated whether the history of continuous same-sex pregnancy was associated with the subsequent child's sex. We prospectively analyzed data from the Japan Environment and Children's Study, a birth cohort study. We included all cases of singleton live births (n = 98 412). Women with pregnancy due to infertility treatment were excluded (n = 6255); Similarly, women with a history of miscarriage, artificial abortion, stillbirth, and multiple pregnancies, and those with missing data on the sex of the previous child were excluded. Altogether, 62 718 women were included. For the first live birth, a male-biased sex ratio of 1.055 was observed. Further, no significant difference was found in the sex ratio of the conceived child between women with one boy and those with one girl previously. However, when there were more than two children previously, the subsequently conceived child's male/female sex ratio was significantly higher among boy-only mothers than among girl-only mothers. The results indicated that several pregnant women are biased toward conceiving either boys or girls.

SATISFY-JP, a phase II multicenter open-label study on Satralizumab, an anti-IL-6 receptor antibody, use for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension in patients with an immune-responsive-phenotype: Study protocol.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), an intractable disease with a poor prognosis, is commonly treated using pulmonary vasodilators modulating the endothelin, cGMP, and prostacyclin pathway. Since the 2010s, drugs for treating pulmonary hypertension based on mechanisms other than pulmonary vasodilation have been actively developed. However, precision medicine is based on tailoring disease treatment to particular phenotypes by molecular-targeted drugs. Since interleukin-6 (IL-6) is involved in the development of PAH in animal models, and some patients with PAH have elevated IL-6 levels, the cytokine is expected to obtain potentials for therapeutic targeting. Accordingly, we identified a phenotype with elevated cytokine activity of the IL-6 family in the PAH population by combining case data extracted from the Japan Pulmonary Hypertension Registry with a comprehensive analysis of 48 cytokines using artificial intelligence clustering techniques. Including an IL-6 threshold ≥2.73 pg/mL as inclusion criteria for reducing the risk of insufficient efficacy, an investigator-initiated clinical study using satralizumab, a recycling anti-IL6 receptor monoclonal antibody, for patients with an immune-responsive phenotype is underway. This study is intended to test whether use of patient biomarker profile can identify a phenotype responsive to anti-IL6 therapy.

Association Between Serum GDF15 Concentration and Total Mortality in Community-Dwelling Japanese Older Populations: The Involvement of Renal Dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: Serum growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) is associated with age-related adverse outcomes. However, renal function has not been thoroughly evaluated in studies addressing the association between GDF15 and mortality. We aimed to clarify whether GDF15 is associated with total mortality after carefully controlling renal function markers. METHODS: We divided 1 801 community-dwelling Japanese older adults into quartiles according to their serum GDF15 concentrations. The correlation of GDF15 with renal function and inflammation markers was assessed by calculating Spearman correlation coefficients. Cumulative survival rates of the quartiles were estimated. In a Cox regression analysis adjusted for confounders, the association between GDF15 and mortality was evaluated. The discriminative capacity of GDF15 for the prediction of mortality was assessed with receiver-operating characteristic analysis. RESULTS: GDF15 was correlated with cystatin C (r = 0.394), ß2-microglobulin (r = 0.382), C-reactive protein (r = 0.124), and interleukin-6 (r = 0.166). The highest GDF15 quartile showed poor survival compared to the others. Older adults with higher GDF15 were associated with an increased mortality risk, independent of demographics and clinically relevant variables (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.98 [1.09-3.59]). This significant association disappeared when additionally adjusted for cystatin C (1.65 [0.89-3.05]) or ß2-microglobulin (1.69 [0.91-3.12]). The ability to predict mortality was approximately comparable between GDF15 (area under the curve: 0.667), cystatin C (0.691), and ß2-microglobulin (0.715). CONCLUSIONS: Serum GDF15 is associated with total mortality in older Japanese after adjustment for major confounders. The increased mortality risk in older adults with higher GDF15 may be partly attributed to decreased renal function.

Current clinical understanding and effectiveness of portopulmonary hypertension treatment.

Portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH) is a rare subtype of Group 1 pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) with a poor prognosis. According to the most up-to-date definition, PoPH is characterized by a mean pulmonary arterial pressure (PAP) of >20 mmHg at rest, a pulmonary artery wedge pressure of ≤15 mmHg, and a pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) of >2 Wood units with portal hypertension. Like PAH, PoPH is underpinned by an imbalance in vasoactive substances. Therefore, current guidelines recommend PAH-specific therapies for PoPH treatment; however, descriptions of the actual treatment approaches are inconsistent. Given the small patient population, PoPH is often studied in combination with idiopathic PAH; however, recent evidence suggests important differences between PoPH and idiopathic PAH in terms of hemodynamic parameters, treatment approaches, survival, socioeconomic status, and healthcare utilization. Therefore, large, multi-center registry studies are needed to examine PoPH in isolation while obtaining statistically meaningful results. PoPH has conventionally been excluded from clinical drug trials because of concerns over hepatotoxicity. Nevertheless, newer-generation endothelin receptor antagonists have shown great promise in the treatment of PoPH, reducing PVR, PAP, and World Health Organization functional class without causing hepatotoxicity. The role of liver transplantation as a treatment option for PoPH has also been controversial; however, recent evidence shows that this procedure may be beneficial in this patient population. In the future, given the shortage of liver donors, predictors of a favorable response to liver transplantation should be determined to select the most eligible patients. Collectively, advances in these three areas could help to standardize PoPH treatment in the clinic.

Long-term outcome of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension using direct oral anticoagulants and warfarin: a Japanese prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) requires lifelong anticoagulation. Long-term outcomes of CTEPH under current anticoagulants are unclear. OBJECTIVES: The CTEPH AC registry is a prospective, nationwide cohort study comparing the safety and effectiveness of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and warfarin for CTEPH. PATIENTS/METHODS: Patients with CTEPH, both tre atment-naïve and on treatment, were eligible for the registry. Inclusion criteria were patients aged ≥20 years and those who were diagnosed with CTEPH according to standard guidelines. Exclusion criteria were not specified. The primary efficacy outcome was a composite morbidity, and mortality outcome comprised all-cause death, rescue reperfusion therapy, initiation of parenteral pulmonary vasodilators, and worsened 6-minute walk distance and WHO functional class. The safety outcome was clinically relevant bleeding, including major bleeding. RESULTS: Nine hundred twenty-seven patients on oral anticoagulants at baseline were analyzed: 481 (52%) used DOACs and 446 (48%) used warfarin. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year rates of composite morbidity and mortality outcome were comparable between the DOAC and warfarin groups (2.6%, 3.1%, and 4.2% vs 3.0%, 4.8%, and 5.9%, respectively; P = .52). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year rates of clinically relevant bleeding were significantly lower in DOACs than in the warfarin group (0.8%, 2.4%, and 2.4% vs 2.5%, 4.8%, and 6.4%, respectively; P = 0.036). Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models revealed lower risk of clinically relevant bleeding in the DOAC group than the warfarin group (hazard ratio: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.13-0.91; P = .032). CONCLUSION: This registry demonstrated that under current standard of care, morbidity and mortality events were effectively prevented regardless of anticoagulants, while the clinically relevant bleeding rate was lower when using DOACs compared with warfarin.

Exposure to dogs and cats and risk of asthma: A retrospective study.

Findings on the relationship between pet exposure and asthma in western countries are inconsistent. This retrospective study examined the association of owning a dog or cat with the onset of asthma in Japanese people. We also investigated whether there is a critical window during which exposure to dogs and cats can reduce the risk of asthma by stratifying the analysis by the age at which pet ownership began. We analyzed data collected in an internet survey conducted by the Japan Pet Food Association in 2021. Valid data were obtained from 4290 participants for analysis of dog ownership and 4308 participants for analysis of cat ownership. In these respective groups, 41.2% had owned a dog and 26.5% had owned a cat. During the follow-up period, 5.7% of dog owners and 14.8% of non-dog owners developed asthma, as did 5.6% of cat owners and 13.5% of non-cat owners. On binomial logistic regression analysis, participants who had not owned a dog had an odds ratio (OR) of 2.01 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.45-2.78) of developing asthma compared to those who had owned a dog after adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics. The corresponding OR of asthma onset among participants who had not owned a cat was 2.24 (95%CI: 1.56-3.23). Stratified analysis showed that while younger participants who had not owned a dog had higher ORs of developing asthma, those who had not owned a cat had similar ORs of asthma onset across all age categories. These results suggest that while there may be a critical window in early life during which exposure to dogs can prevent asthma onset, the protective effect of cat exposure is constant across all ages in Japan.

Efficacy and Safety of Balloon Pulmonary Angioplasty for Patients With Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension and Comorbid Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Background Balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) is a promising treatment modality for nonoperable chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). However, BPA for atypical CTEPH with concurrent chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains controversial owing to the risk of exacerbation of ventilation-perfusion mismatch. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of BPA for CTEPH with moderate or severe COPD. Methods and Results Data from 149 patients with CTEPH, who underwent BPA from March 2011 to June 2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided based on COPD comorbidity: the COPD group (n=32, defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity <70% and forced expiratory volume in 1 second <80% predicted) and the non-COPD group (n=101); patients with mild COPD (n=16) were excluded. Hemodynamic and respiratory parameters were compared between the groups. Hemodynamics improved similarly in both groups (reduction in pulmonary vascular resistance): -55.6±29.0% (COPD group) and -58.9±21.4% (non-COPD group); P=nonsignificant. Respiratory function and oxygenation improved in the COPD group (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity [61.8±7.0% to 66.5±10.2%, P=0.02] and arterial oxygen partial pressure [60.9±10.6 mm Hg to 69.3±13.6 mm Hg, P<0.01]). Higher vital capacity (P=0.024) and higher diffusing capacity for lung carbon monoxide (P=0.028) at baseline were associated with greater improvement in oxygenation in the multivariable linear analysis. Lung injury per BPA session was 1.6% in the COPD group. Conclusions The efficacy and safety of BPA for nonoperable CTEPH in patients with comorbid COPD were similar to those in patients without COPD. Oxygenation and forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity improved in patients with COPD. BPA should be considered in patients with CTEPH with concurrent COPD.